The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

136


United States

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

86


United States

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
46.05
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
47.66
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
61.03
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
52.39
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

73.91

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
328,239,523

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

63,170

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers who have transited or have been in Austria, Belgium, Brazil, China (People's Rep.), Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland,
India, Iran, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, South
Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom (excluding overseas territories outside of Europe) or Vatican City (Holy See), in the past 14 days are not allowed to enter and
transit. -This does not apply to: - nationals and permanent residents of the USA; - spouses of nationals and of permanent residents of the USA. They must have a marriage
certificate; - parents/legal guardians of an unmarried and younger than 21 years national or permanent resident of the USA; - the unmarried and younger than 21 years brother or
sister of a national or permanent resident of the USA, who is unmarried and younger than 21 years; - the child/foster child/ward of a national or permanent resident of the USA; -
passengers with the following visas: A-1, A-2, C-1, C-2, C-3, CR-1, CR-2, D, E-1 (as an employee of TECRO or TECO or the employee's immediate family members), G-1, G-2, G-3, G-4,
IR-1, IR-4, IH-4, IV, K-1, K-2, K-3, K-4, NATO-1 through NATO-4, or NATO-6 visa; - airline crew, if traveling to join an aircraft in the USA; or - with one of the following visas:
C-1/D,B1, H1, L visa if traveling to join an aircraft in the USA; - merchant seamen, if traveling to join a ship in the USA; or - with one of the following visas: C-1/D,B1, H1, L
visa if traveling to join a ship in the USA; or - engaged in lightering, Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) activity, wind farm activity, private air/sea crew or other similar crew
member activities; - passengers with a DV visa issued between 1 October 2019 and 30 September 2020; - members of the U.S. Armed Forces, spouses, and children of members of the U.S.
Armed Forces; - passengers with evidence of traveling at the invitation of the USA government for a purpose related to the containment/mitigation of the Coronavirus (COVID-19); -
passengers with documents issued by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, U.S. Customs and Border Protection, or U.S. Department of State indicating that the passenger is
exempt from the restriction; - passengers with an NIE exemption; - students arriving from Austria, Belgium, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary,
Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden or Switzerland, United
Kingdom; - students with a F-1 or M-1 visa if participating in an academic program that started on 1 August 2021 or later.

2. Passengers entering or transiting through the USA must have a negative COVID-19 test taken at most 3 days before departure from the first embarkation point. Tests accepted are:
antigen, NAAT, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR or TMA. Passengers details (e.g., name and date of birth) in the certificate must match those stated in the passport or other travel document; and
the test result must specify "negative" or "not detected". If marked "invalid" it is not accepted. This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - US military
personnel; - passengers with a medical certificate with a positive COVID-19 test result. The test must be taken at most three months before departure from the first embarkation
point; and - a letter issued by a health authority stating that the passenger has been cleared for travel. The test result must specify "positive" or "detected", if marked
"invalid" it is not accepted.

3. Passengers must complete a disclosure and attestation form before departure. The form can be obtained at https://tinyurl.com/58nw6t8v

4. Passengers are subject to COVID-19 measures set by the state/territory of their final destination. More information can be found at
www.cdc.gov/publichealthgateway/healthdirectories/healthdepartments.html

5. DV visas issued in September 2020 that expired are accepted for entry.

6. Nationals of the U.S.A. are allowed to enter with an expired passport. -This does not apply to emergency passports which must be valid on arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


United States Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

United States 47.66 46.05 328,239,523 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
China 78.34 89.55 1,397,715,000 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Ethiopia 44.95 51.40 112,078,730 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Indonesia 56.02 63.55 270,625,568 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Mexico 48.29 53.45 127,575,529 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Nigeria 48.11 51.15 200,963,599 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.




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