The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

96


Tajikistan

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

91


Tajikistan

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
52.92
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
46.83
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
15.36
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
20.46
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

34.78

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
9,321,018

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

1,010

(Low income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers and airline crew must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 3 years.

2. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Tajikistan Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Tajikistan 46.83 52.92 9,321,018 Medium Density Low income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Eritrea 39.02 48.39 3,497,117 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Gambia 48.55 56.87 2,347,706 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Guinea-Bissau 33.70 38.75 1,920,922 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Liberia 41.33 57.08 4,937,374 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Sierra Leone 36.01 49.28 7,813,215 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Togo 42.81 52.42 8,082,366 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Armenia 37.91 40.12 2,957,731 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Austria 69.91 76.72 8,877,067 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 75%
Belarus 51.50 66.58 9,466,856 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Denmark 84.56 88.00 5,818,553 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Best Situation The GCI Model and data indicates that the country has reached 0 active cases and is free from new infections. The Government should consider restoring some kind of normalcy to the country.




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Recognition and Award:

Chairman's Award



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