The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

142


Somalia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

167


Somalia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
45.36
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

1

Recovery Index
27.41
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
30.72
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
27.77
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

30.43

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
15,442,905

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

0

(Low income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1.Passengers must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from
the first embarkation point. The certificate must be in English.

2. Airline crew without a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR Molecular test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival are subject to PCR
test on arrival at their own expense. The certificate must be in English.

3. Passengers and airline crew are subject to medical screening and quarantine for 7 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Somalia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Somalia 27.41 45.36 15,442,905 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
South Sudan 42.86 50.03 11,062,113 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 100%
Chad 41.47 43.93 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Mali 39.93 57.55 19,658,031 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Niger 42.23 45.95 23,310,715 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Sudan 35.44 52.44 42,813,238 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Australia 66.97 76.38 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 75%
Saudi Arabia 74.88 81.51 34,268,528 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 75%
Algeria 28.30 45.37 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Angola 36.17 45.34 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Argentina 64.93 66.23 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.




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Recognition and Award:

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