The GCI Dashboard

Version:
Share: whatsapp
Country Rank

16


Italy

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

22


Italy

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
77.02
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
68.64
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
25.08
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
46.28
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

69.57

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
60,297,396

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

33,740

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Until 25 October 2021, passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Lichtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San
Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and Vatican City (Holy See); - passengers with a long-term residence permit or a long term "D" visa issued by Switzerland or
an EEA Member State; - family members of nationals and residents of Switzerland or an EEA Member State; - passenger with proof of being unmarried partners of residents of Italy; -
passengers who in the past 14 days have only been in or transited through Albania, Andorra, Armenia, Austria, Australia, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Brunei
Darussalam, Bulgaria, Canada, Chinese Taipei, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Hong Kong (SAR China), Finland, France, French Guiana, French West Indies (only Guadeloupe
and Martinique), Germany, Gibraltar, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Japan, Jordan, Korea Rep., Kosovo (Rep.), Latvia, Lebanon, Liechtenstein, Lithuania,
Luxembourg, Macao (SAR China), Malta, Mayotte, Moldova (Rep.), Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, New Zealand, North Macedonia (Rep.), Norway, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Reunion,
Romania, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom or USA; - passengers traveling on business;
- passengers returning via Italy to their country of residence; - students; - military personnel.

2. Until 25 October 2021, passengers who have been in or transited through Brazil in the past 14 days are not allowed to enter and transit. - This does not apply to: - passengers
residing in Italy since before 13 February 2021; - parents of children younger than 18 years who are residing in Italy; - military personnel; - students.

3. Until 25 October 2021, passengers who have been in or transited through Bangladesh, India or Sri Lanka in the past 14 days are not allowed to enter and transit. - This does not
apply to: - passengers residing in Italy since before 28 August 2021; - nationals of Italy registered with the A.I.R.E; - students; - parents of children younger than 18 years who
are residing in Italy; - spouses or partners of residents of Italy.

4. Passengers must complete a Digital Passenger Locator Form at https://app.euplf.eu/

5. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 antigen or molecular test taken at most 72 hours before arrival. The test result must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish. - This
does not apply to: - passengers arriving from Andorra, Austria, Bangladesh, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, French Guiana, French
West Indies (only Guadeloupe and Martinique), Germany, Gibraltar, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, India, Ireland, Israel, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Mayotte,
Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Reunion, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sri Lanka, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See); -
military personnel; - passengers younger than 6 years; - more exemptions can be found at https://tinyurl.com/xwwuut4a .

6. Passengers arriving from Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, French Guiana, French West Indies (only Guadeloupe
and Martinique), Germany, Gibraltar, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Mayotte, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland,
Portugal, Reunion, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or United Kingdom must have: - a negative COVID-19 antigen or molecular test taken at most 48 hours
before arrival; or - a COVID-19 recovery certificate; or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines
accepted are: AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Janssen, Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty). All documents must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish. All documents for passengers
arriving from Israel must be issued in Israel. - This does not apply to: - military personnel; - passengers younger than 6 years; - more exemptions can be found at
https://tinyurl.com/xwwuut4a .

7. Passengers who have been in or transited through Bangladesh, India or Sri Lanka in the past 14 days must have a negative COVID-19 antigen or molecular test taken at most 72
hours before arrival. The test result must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish. They are also subject to: - a COVID-19 antigen or molecular test upon arrival; and -
quarantine in a hotel for 10 days; and - another COVID-19 antigen or molecular test at the end of quarantine. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 6 years.

8. Passengers transiting through Italy who have been in or transited through Bangladesh, Brazil, India or Sri Lanka in the past 14 days must have a negative COVID-19 antigen or
molecular test taken at most 72 hours before arrival. The test result must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 6 years.

9. Passengers who have been in or transited through Brazil in the past 14 days are subject to a COVID-19 antigen or molecular test upon arrival. - This does not apply to
passengers younger than 6 years.

10. Passengers traveling to Puglia must present a completed health declaration form upon arrival. The form can be obtained at
https://www.sanita.puglia.it/web/pugliasalute/autosegnalazione-coronavirus

11. Passengers could be subject to self-isolation for 5 or 10 days and to a COVID-19 antigen or molecular test at the end of self-isolation. More details can be found at
https://infocovid.viaggiaresicuri.it/index_en.html or http://tinyurl.com/324bymbz . - This does not apply to passengers arriving from Albania, Andorra, Armenia, Austria, Australia,
Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Brunei Darussalam, Bulgaria, Canada, Chinese Taipei, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Hong Kong (SAR China), Finland,
France, French Guiana, French West Indies (only Guadeloupe and Martinique), Germany, Gibraltar, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Japan, Jordan, Korea Rep., Kosovo
(Rep.), Latvia, Lebanon, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macao (SAR China), Malta, Mayotte, Moldova (Rep.), Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, New Zealand, North Macedonia
(Rep.), Norway, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Reunion, Romania, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, USA, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates or
United Kingdom with: - an EU Digital Covid Certificate (EU DCC); or - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated with AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria),
Janssen, Moderna or Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty) at least 14 days before arrival. The certificate must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish; - a COVID-19 recovery certificate.
The certificate must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish.

12. Passengers traveling to Sicily who in the past 14 days have been in or transited through France, Greece, Malta, Netherlands, Portugal or Spain are subject to a COVID-19 test
upon arrival.

13. Passengers traveling to Pescara (PSR) from Malta, Spain or United Kingdom are subject to a COVID-19 test upon arrival and self-isolation until the test result is ready.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Italy Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Italy 68.64 77.02 60,297,396 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
France 69.03 69.57 67,059,887 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Germany 69.27 73.85 83,132,799 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Congo Democratic Republic 32.97 45.04 86,790,567 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Egypt 40.14 49.59 100,388,073 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Iran 29.05 36.58 82,913,906 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Kenya 49.06 49.93 52,573,973 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Myanmar 47.11 52.11 54,045,420 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
South Africa 53.43 58.29 58,558,270 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Tanzania 33.82 48.61 58,005,463 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Thailand 46.34 48.20 69,625,582 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.




Reviewed and Endorsed by:

In Collaboration and
Partnership with:

image

Recognition and Award:

Chairman's Award



Key Sponsor: