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Country Rank

161


Bulgaria

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

156


Bulgaria

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
38.44
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
31.34
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
51.62
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
47.87
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
6,975,761

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

8,860

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers must enter Bulgaria via Burgas (BOJ), Plovdiv (PDV), Sofia (SOF) or Varna (VAR). -This does not apply to: - passengers arriving from Romania; - merchant seamen.

2. Passengers arriving from Argentina, Bangladesh, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Eswatini, Fiji,
Georgia, Grenada, Guatemala, India, Iran, Israel, Kazakhstan, Kosovo (Rep.), Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Montenegro, Myanmar, Namibia, Nepal, North Macedonia (Rep.),
Oman, Palestinian Territory, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Serbia, Seychelles, South Africa, Sri Lanka, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, Suriname, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Turkmenistan, USA,
United Kingdom, Uruguay or Zambia, are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Bulgaria, and their family members; passengers younger than 12
years; merchant seamen.

3. Passengers arriving from Cyprus or Ireland (Rep.) are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Bulgaria, and their family members; -
nationals and family members of nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland
(Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland; - passengers
younger than 12 years; - merchant seamen.

4. Passengers arriving from Argentina, Bangladesh, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Cyprus, Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Eswatini,
Fiji, Georgia, Grenada, Guatemala, India, Iran, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Kazakhstan, Kosovo (Rep.), Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Montenegro, Myanmar, Namibia, Nepal,
North Macedonia (Rep.), Oman, Palestinian Territory, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Serbia, Seychelles, South Africa, Sri Lanka, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, Suriname, Tajikistan,
Tanzania, Turkmenistan, USA, United Kingdom, Uruguay or Zambia, must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival, written in Latin characters. - This
does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Bulgaria, and their family members; - passengers younger than 12 years; -passengers between 12 and 18 without a negative COVID-19
PCR test, are subject to quarantine; - merchant seamen.

5. Passengers must have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria),
Janssen, Moderna (Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Sinopharm, Sinovac and and Sputnik V; or - a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival; or - a
negative COVID-19 antigen test taken at most 48 hours before arrival; or - a COVID-19 recovery certificate issued at least 11 days and at most 180 days before arrival. -This does
not apply to: - nationals and residents of Bulgaria, and their family members; - passengers arriving from Argentina, Bangladesh, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Chile,
Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Cyprus, Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Eswatini, Fiji, Georgia, Grenada, Guatemala, India, Iran, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Kazakhstan, Kosovo (Rep.),
Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Montenegro, Myanmar, Namibia, Nepal, North Macedonia (Rep.), Oman, Palestinian Territory, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Serbia, Seychelles,
South Africa, Sri Lanka, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, Suriname, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Turkmenistan, USA, United Kingdom, Uruguay or Zambia; - passengers arriving from Austria,
Czechia, Denmark, Finland, Hungary, Italy, Luxembourg, MaltaNorway, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Spain, Vatican City (Holy See), - passengers younger than 12 years; - merchant
seamen.

6. Nationals and residents of Bulgaria could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

7. More details can be found at: www.mh.government.bg/media/filer_public/2021/07/29/zapoved_vlizane_bg_01-645_en_final.pdf and
www.mh.government.bg/media/filer_public/2021/09/13/order_01-767_en.pdf

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Bulgaria Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Bulgaria 31.34 38.44 6,975,761 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Albania 40.15 46.52 2,854,191 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Azerbaijan 42.24 55.66 10,023,318 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 24.49 34.51 3,301,000 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Serbia 35.63 39.30 6,944,975 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Armenia 35.93 41.55 2,957,731 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
Belarus 51.50 67.46 9,466,856 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
Costa Rica 26.70 36.43 5,047,561 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Equatorial Guinea 37.60 41.53 1,355,986 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Georgia 32.35 32.78 3,720,382 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
North Macedonia 29.13 35.50 2,083,459 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.




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